Last frost date in Merced, CA
Expect the last frost in Merced around March 3. Frost after April 10 happens in only one year out of ten. The first fall frost usually arrives about November 24, which leaves 263 frost-free days. An early freeze before November 5 happens one year in ten.
- Safe after (10% risk)
- Apr 10
- Average first frost
- Nov 24
- Frost-free season
- 263 days
- Hard freeze (28°F) ends
- Feb 2
No frost in the next 6 nights
National Weather Service forecast, updated Oct 22, 12:57 UTC
- ThuOct 2253°
- FriOct 2349°
- SatOct 2448°
- SunOct 2550°
- MonOct 2649°
- TueOct 2749°
Planting calendar for Merced
Windows count forward or back from the average frost dates above. Click a crop for dates across California.
Frost probabilities
| Threshold | Spring, 90% chance later | Spring, 50% | Spring, 10% | Fall, 10% chance earlier | Fall, 50% | Fall, 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light frost, 32°F | Feb 2 | Mar 3 | Apr 10 | Nov 5 | Nov 24 | Dec 14 |
| Hard freeze, 28°F | Dec 28 | Feb 2 | Mar 11 | Nov 22 | Dec 11 | Jan 14 |
Read the spring 10% column as the date after which only one year in ten still gets frost. That is the safer date for tomatoes, peppers and basil.
Where these numbers come from
NOAA station Merced (USC00045532) sits 2.9 miles from the center of Merced at 154 feet. Its averages cover 1991 to 2020. Low spots, valleys and open fields can keep getting frost a week or two after the station stops; city centers and lakeshores usually get less of it.
Questions
When is the last frost in Merced, CA?
The average last frost date in Merced is March 3, based on NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals. There is a 10% chance of frost after April 10.
When is the first frost in Merced?
The first frost in fall usually comes around November 24. One year in ten it arrives before November 5.
How long is the growing season in Merced?
About 263 days between the average last and first frost.
When should I plant tomatoes in Merced?
Plant tomato seedlings outside from March 10 to March 24. Start seeds indoors six to eight weeks earlier.